1-13.  The chandelier is hung from the ceiling using two rods. Rod AB has a diameter of  = 4 mm, and rod BC has a diameter of  = 6 mm. The allowable stress in either rod follows the distribution  MPa. If the mass of the chandelier follows the distribution of  kg, what are the probabilities of failure of the two rods? Assume  and m are independent.

Solution

Free Body Diagram

Determine the forces in the two rods in terms of m.

 

    

Determine the area of each rod

 m2

 m2

Determine the equation for normal stress in each rod

 

       

 

The probability of failure in a single rod is. Let , then

 

 

 

 

Then,  for a single rod is written as . Because normal random variables  and m are independent,  also follows a normal distribution, .

 MPa

 

 MPa

 

 MPa

 

 MPa

 

Thus