18. A truss undergoes a force . The diamter of rod BC is . If the yield stress of rod BC is , and  and  are independent, determine the probability of failure using the First Order Second Moment Method.

Solution

Consider the force equilibrium of rod AB and rod AC as shown in the figure below

According to the force equilibrium along with  axis,  

Then

Thus the compressible stress applied to rod BC is

The limit-state function is actual stress subtracted from the yield strength. Failure occurs when.

where .

Using FOSM, we have


The probability of failure is then given by

4.5